Scientific Results

This catalogue is obtained by conducting a systematic literature review of scientific studies and reviews related to monitoring, forecasting, and simulating the inland water cycle. The analysis maps scientific expertise across research groups and classifies findings by the type of inland water studied, application focus, and geographical scope. A gap analysis will identify missing research areas and assess their relevance to policymaking.

ID ▲ Type Year Authors Title Venue/Journal DOI Research type Water System Technical Focus Abstract Link with Projects Link with Tools Related policies ID
publications-1521 PEER REVIEWED ARTICLE 2016 Nikolaos Hatzianastassiou , Christos D. Papadimas , Christos J. Lolis , Aristides Bartzokas , Vincenzo Levizzani , John D. Pnevmatikos , Basil D. Kats Spatial and temporal variability of precipitation over the Mediterranean Basin based on 32-year satellite Global Precipitation Climatology Project data, part I: evaluation and climatological patterns 10.1002/joc.4666 Data Management & Analytics Uncategorized ABSTRACTThe precipitation regime over the Mediterranean basin is investigated for the period 1979–2010 using monthly mean satellite data from the Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCPv2). The results show that a clear contrast exists between the more rainy northern part of the study region (Southern Europe) and the drier southern area (North Africa, Iberian Peninsula) and between the western sides (rainsides) of the Iberian, Italian and Balkan peninsulas and their eastern sides (rainshadows). The mean annual precipitation averaged over the study area is P = 593 ± 203 mm year−1, but it has a strong spatial variability ranging from 20 mm year−1 (North Africa) to 1500 mm year−1 (Alps). A significant seasonal variability exists, with the early winter and late autumn months (November and December) being the wettest with precipitation amounts larger than 60 mm month−1. The GPCPv2 satellite precipitation data are satisfactorily correlated with rain gauge measurements from 433 stations within the study area (correlation coefficient R = 0.78 for all stations on a yearly basis, with values ranging between 0.72 and 0.82, depending on the season) with a slight overestimation. They also compare well with the higher spatial and temporal resolution Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) data, which supports the validity of the present study. 603608
publications-1522 PEER REVIEWED ARTICLE 2016 Nikolaos Hatzianastassiou , Christos D. Papadimas , Christos J. Lolis , Aristides Bartzokas , Vincenzo Levizzani , John D. Pnevmatikos , Basil D. Kats Spatial and temporal variability of precipitation over the Mediterranean Basin based on 32-year satellite Global Precipitation Climatology Project data. Part-II: inter-annual variability and trends 10.1002/joc.4665 Simulation & Modeling Precipitation & Ecological Systems ABSTRACTMonthly mean satellite data from the Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCPv2) are used to examine the year‐by‐year variability of precipitation over the Mediterranean Basin and its changes over the period 1979–2010. The results show that the mean annual precipitation averaged over the study area has slightly increased from 1979 to 2010 by 1.28 mm or by 0.2% (trend not statistically significant at the 95% confidence level). Nevertheless, examining the trends at a local scale, spatial and temporal patterns are revealed, with opposite trends in adjacent areas and increasing precipitation in summer and autumn against almost unchanged or decreasing precipitation in winter and spring, respectively. Inter‐decadal changes of precipitation are detected, with precipitation decreasing in the 1980s, then increasing through the late 1990s and finally declining in the 2000s before levelling off since 2007. These changes are significantly anti‐correlated (R = −0.57, up to −0.66 in winter) with the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) index, thus confirming the critical role of this large‐scale teleconnection for the regional precipitation over the basin. 603608
publications-1523 PEER REVIEWED ARTICLE 2016 J. Kolassa , P. Gentine , C. Prigent , F. Aires Soil moisture retrieval from AMSR-E and ASCAT microwave observation synergy. Part 1: Satellite data analysis 10.1016/j.rse.2015.11.011 Data Management & Analytics Precipitation & Ecological Systems No abstract available 603608
publications-1524 PEER REVIEWED ARTICLE 2016 P. Laiolo , S. Gabellani , L. Campo , F. Silvestro , F. Delogu , R. Rudari , L. Pulvirenti , G. Boni , F. Fascetti , N. Pierdicca , R. Crapolicchio , Impact of different satellite soil moisture products on the predictions of a continuous distributed hydrological model 10.1016/j.jag.2015.06.002 Data Management & Analytics Precipitation & Ecological Systems No abstract available 603608
publications-1525 PEER REVIEWED ARTICLE 2016 Rene Orth , Emanuel Dutra , Florian Pappenberger Improving Weather Predictability by Including Land Surface Model Parameter Uncertainty 10.1175/mwr-d-15-0283.1 Data Management & Analytics Uncategorized AbstractThe land surface forms an important component of Earth system models and interacts nonlinearly with other parts such as ocean and atmosphere. To capture the complex and heterogeneous hydrology of the land surface, land surface models include a large number of parameters impacting the coupling to other components of the Earth system model.Focusing on ECMWF’s land surface model Hydrology Tiled ECMWF Scheme of Surface Exchanges over Land (HTESSEL), the authors present in this study a comprehensive parameter sensitivity evaluation using multiple observational datasets in Europe. The authors select six poorly constrained effective parameters (surface runoff effective depth, skin conductivity, minimum stomatal resistance, maximum interception, soil moisture stress function shape, and total soil depth) and explore their sensitivity to model outputs such as soil moisture, evapotranspiration, and runoff using uncoupled simulations and coupled seasonal forecasts. Additionally, the authors investigate the possibility to construct ensembles from the multiple land surface parameters.In the uncoupled runs the authors find that minimum stomatal resistance and total soil depth have the most influence on model performance. Forecast skill scores are moreover sensitive to the same parameters as HTESSEL performance in the uncoupled analysis. The authors demonstrate the robustness of these findings by comparing multiple best-performing parameter sets and multiple randomly chosen parameter sets. The authors find better temperature and precipitation forecast skill with the best-performing parameter perturbations demonstrating representativeness of model performance across uncoupled (and hence less computationally demanding) and coupled settings.Finally, the authors construct ensemble forecasts from ensemble members derived with different best-performing parameterizations of HTESSEL. This incorporation of parameter uncertainty in the ensemble generation yields an increase in forecast skill, even beyond the skill of the default system. 603608
publications-1526 PEER REVIEWED ARTICLE 2016 Giulia Panegrossi , Daniele Casella , Stefano Dietrich , Anna Cinzia Marra , Paolo Sano , Alberto Mugnai , Luca Baldini , Nicoletta Roberto , Elisa Ad Use of the GPM Constellation for Monitoring Heavy Precipitation Events Over the Mediterranean Region 10.1109/jstars.2016.2520660 AI & Machine Learning Precipitation & Ecological Systems No abstract available 603608
publications-1527 PEER REVIEWED ARTICLE 2016 Jan Polcher , Maria Piles , Emiliano Gelati , Anaïs Barella-Ortiz , Marivi Tello Comparing surface-soil moisture from the SMOS mission and the ORCHIDEE land-surface model over the Iberian Peninsula 10.1016/j.rse.2015.12.004 Data Management & Analytics River Basins No abstract available 603608
publications-1528 PEER REVIEWED ARTICLE 2016 T I E Veldkamp , Y Wada , J C J H Aerts , P J Ward Towards a global water scarcity risk assessment framework: incorporation of probability distributions and hydro-climatic variability 10.1088/1748-9326/11/2/024006 Data Management & Analytics Groundwater No abstract available 603608
publications-1529 PEER REVIEWED ARTICLE Wouter A. Dorigo and Richard A.M. de Jeu (editors) Advances in the Validation and Application of Remotely Sensed Soil Moisture - Part 1 (Special Issue) Data Management & Analytics Precipitation & Ecological Systems No abstract available 603608
publications-1530 PEER REVIEWED ARTICLE Wouter A. Dorigo and Richard A.M. de Jeu (editors) Advances in the Validation and Application of Remotely Sensed Soil Moisture – Part 2 (Special Issue) Uncategorized Uncategorized No abstract available 603608