ID:
publications-4433
Type:
article
Year:
2017
Authors:
West, Timothy D. and West, Timothy D. and Blackburn, Mark and Blackburn, Mark
Title:
Is Digital Thread/Digital Twin Affordable? A Systemic Assessment of the Cost of DoDs Latest Manhattan Project
Venue/Journal:
Procedia Computer Science
DOI:
10.1016/j.procs.2017.09.003
Research type:
Water System:
Technical Focus:
Abstract:
This paper analyzes challenges the U.S. Air Force will inevitably face as it implements Digital Thread/Digital Twin, a model-centric approach to weapon system development, to include developing the needed computational capability, software tools, and workforce to leverage that capability. A Cost Constructive Model (COCOMO) II based analysis is performed to roughly estimate the scope, cost, and time required to develop robust Digital Thread/Digital Twin models for the Next Generation Air Dominance (NGAD) aircraft. The authors determine that such a thoroughly unprecedented model development effort will require a national commitment on par with the Manhattan Project, which yielded the first atomic bomb.
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